2012年7月24日星期二

The new energy strategy to save the U.S. economy?

the United States to establish a new energy strategy aimed to develop new energy industry, to change the traditional way of the use of energy, and find a new breakthrough for U.S. economic growth. However, data from the British "Financial Times", excluding OPEC (OPEC) member countries and the former Soviet republics over the past three years, the net growth in global oil production from the United States. And the U.S. Department of Commerce data show that the U.S. economy grew by only 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2012. Thus triggering a doubt, the new energy strategy can save you? The purpose of the United States to establish a new energy strategy is to develop new energy industry, to change the traditional way of the use of energy, and find a new breakthrough for U.S. economic growth. However, data from the British "Financial Times", excluding OPEC (OPEC) member countries and the former Soviet republics over the past three years, the net growth in global oil production from the United States. And the U.S. Department of Commerce data show that the U.S. economy grew by only 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2012. Thus triggering a doubt, the new energy strategy can save you? First have to admit, technological progress and invention, because of its complexity, uncertainty and high risk, sometimes seems more like a romantic legend. Commodity in the world, especially in periods of rapidly rising oil prices, biofuels such as corn-based ethanol solar lighting has been high hopes. However, Hartmut Michel, winner of the Nobel Prize in Chemistry specifically has written that "biofuels" do not fly. Why not fly? The reason is that the energy conversion rate is too low, the entire synthesis process of energy conversion rate is only about 4%. Photovoltaic energy conversion rate of 15%, is the former four times. In the U.S., the debate on clean energy continued endlessly. During the global financial crisis, a lot of money into the energy field in order to "pave the way for a clean energy future overall strategy." The core of the problem is how to fill the "cost gap" between the cheap fossil fuels and expensive alternative energy sources, has yet to be resolved. With the shadow of the crisis dissipated, the corresponding R & D support in the reduction, and if not a coherent and viable energy innovation and investment plans, the initial investment will have little effect. Nevertheless, the efforts of scientists in the past year seems to still bring some ray of hope. In the plug of wood Prius, North Carolina, United States (Semprius) announced that it has made the worlds most efficient solar panels, and the ability to irradiation in the panels above the 33.9% of the sun into electrical energy. Traditional silicon solar panels are usually only less than 15 percent of the sunlight conversion into electricity, silicon solar panels, the record is 22.9%. Plug wood Prius said that once the large-scale operation, in some places, the cost of electricity low enough to those of coal and natural gas-fired power plants to compete. The method used is the key measures is a miniature solar cells using gallium arsenide production, because this material can be better than silicon to convert light into electrical energy, but also much more expensive, the price of silicon only in 2011, had fallen more than half, the companys future ability to technical superiority effectively transformed into a market advantage remains to be seen. Americas new energy strategy naturally has its own rationale, retrospective as usual, every time progress of the human society are all closely linked with technology, the steam engine, electricity, Internet, all these. Interesting, with our usual view is different from the historical evidence, the birth of the major inventions and rapid economic growth, even growth first continued to slow down, and then suddenly accelerated the cycle of such a "strange . " For example, after the birth of computer technology, output per hour growth rate of the U.S. Department of Commerce but by 3 percent in the 1960s, dropped to 1.5 percent in the 1970s and 1980s. The factors that lead to this strange phenomenon, the researchers conducted the inquiry, the following main reasons: First, learning, adoption of new technologies for companies and workers to spend time to learn and gain experience and to adapt to new technologies, corporate general also need to be adjusted accordingly on the organization. This learning process will slow down productivity growth in the short term. The second is the development of complementary inputs. The major change is basically similar to the computer technology have a significant feature of a very wide range of potential uses, and potential uses into the reality of the need to develop new technology to match the complementary input factors. When resources towards the development of complementary inputs, growth will slow down. In addition, analysts often forecast on economic growth, business model and lifestyle impact was glaringly wrong. A more prominent example is when the e-mail was born in 1971 will reduce the forecast on the budget of the enterprise slip fees seem very reasonable, because the cost of communication seems to have the small face-to-face communication seems to be no longer necessary. However, the enterprises data show that five years after the travel has actually quadrupled. This shows that, in business, face-to-face meetings are still necessary, and users with distant more people to cooperate on larger projects, the organizations cost is higher. A variety of technology has changed our lives, but this is not that important inventions will certainly change our lives, it depends on how we learn and adapt to new technologies, depending on the organization and how the system of efficient adjustment depends on the development of complementary inputs. At the same time, we also have to admit, we still know very little about the technology really possible and what is the technology has a broad prospect. The best strategy is to create a relaxed environment to encourage innovation and intellectual property protection, and perhaps the next Steve Jobs appeared among us? Source: Securities Times

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