2012年7月24日星期二
The new energy strategy to save the U.S. economy?
the United States to establish a new energy strategy aimed to develop new energy
industry, to change the traditional way of the use of energy, and find a new
breakthrough for U.S. economic growth. However, data from the British "Financial
Times", excluding OPEC (OPEC) member countries and the former Soviet republics
over the past three years, the net growth in global oil production from the
United States. And the U.S. Department of Commerce data show that the U.S.
economy grew by only 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2012. Thus triggering a
doubt, the new energy strategy can save you? The purpose of the United States to
establish a new energy strategy is to develop new energy industry, to change the
traditional way of the use of energy, and find a new breakthrough for U.S.
economic growth. However, data from the British "Financial Times", excluding
OPEC (OPEC) member countries and the former Soviet republics over the past three
years, the net growth in global oil production from the United States. And the
U.S. Department of Commerce data show that the U.S. economy grew by only 1.9
percent in the first quarter of 2012. Thus triggering a doubt, the new energy
strategy can save you? First have to admit, technological progress and
invention, because of its complexity, uncertainty and high risk, sometimes seems
more like a romantic legend. Commodity in the world, especially in periods of
rapidly rising oil prices, biofuels such as corn-based ethanol solar lighting has
been high hopes. However, Hartmut Michel, winner of the Nobel Prize in Chemistry
specifically has written that "biofuels" do not fly. Why not fly? The reason is
that the energy conversion rate is too low, the entire synthesis process of
energy conversion rate is only about 4%. Photovoltaic energy conversion rate of
15%, is the former four times. In the U.S., the debate on clean energy continued
endlessly. During the global financial crisis, a lot of money into the energy
field in order to "pave the way for a clean energy future overall strategy." The
core of the problem is how to fill the "cost gap" between the cheap fossil fuels
and expensive alternative energy sources, has yet to be resolved. With the
shadow of the crisis dissipated, the corresponding R & D support in the
reduction, and if not a coherent and viable energy innovation and investment
plans, the initial investment will have little effect. Nevertheless, the efforts
of scientists in the past year seems to still bring some ray of hope. In the
plug of wood Prius, North Carolina, United States (Semprius) announced that it
has made the worlds most efficient solar panels, and the ability to irradiation
in the panels above the 33.9% of the sun into electrical energy. Traditional
silicon solar panels are usually only less than 15 percent of the sunlight
conversion into electricity, silicon solar panels, the record is 22.9%. Plug
wood Prius said that once the large-scale operation, in some places, the cost of
electricity low enough to those of coal and natural gas-fired power plants to
compete. The method used is the key measures is a miniature solar cells using
gallium arsenide production, because this material can be better than silicon to
convert light into electrical energy, but also much more expensive, the price of
silicon only in 2011, had fallen more than half, the companys future ability to
technical superiority effectively transformed into a market advantage remains to
be seen. Americas new energy strategy naturally has its own rationale,
retrospective as usual, every time progress of the human society are all closely
linked with technology, the steam engine, electricity, Internet, all these.
Interesting, with our usual view is different from the historical evidence, the
birth of the major inventions and rapid economic growth, even growth first
continued to slow down, and then suddenly accelerated the cycle of such a
"strange . " For example, after the birth of computer technology, output per
hour growth rate of the U.S. Department of Commerce but by 3 percent in the
1960s, dropped to 1.5 percent in the 1970s and 1980s. The factors that lead to
this strange phenomenon, the researchers conducted the inquiry, the following
main reasons: First, learning, adoption of new technologies for companies and
workers to spend time to learn and gain experience and to adapt to new
technologies, corporate general also need to be adjusted accordingly on the
organization. This learning process will slow down productivity growth in the
short term. The second is the development of complementary inputs. The major
change is basically similar to the computer technology have a significant
feature of a very wide range of potential uses, and potential uses into the
reality of the need to develop new technology to match the complementary input
factors. When resources towards the development of complementary inputs, growth
will slow down. In addition, analysts often forecast on economic growth,
business model and lifestyle impact was glaringly wrong. A more prominent
example is when the e-mail was born in 1971 will reduce the forecast on the
budget of the enterprise slip fees seem very reasonable, because the cost of
communication seems to have the small face-to-face communication seems to be no
longer necessary. However, the enterprises data show that five years after the
travel has actually quadrupled. This shows that, in business, face-to-face
meetings are still necessary, and users with distant more people to cooperate on
larger projects, the organizations cost is higher. A variety of technology has
changed our lives, but this is not that important inventions will certainly
change our lives, it depends on how we learn and adapt to new technologies,
depending on the organization and how the system of efficient adjustment depends
on the development of complementary inputs. At the same time, we also have to
admit, we still know very little about the technology really possible and what
is the technology has a broad prospect. The best strategy is to create a relaxed
environment to encourage innovation and intellectual property protection, and
perhaps the next Steve Jobs appeared among us? Source: Securities Times
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